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According to a report by Reuters, Indonesia is prepared to enhance its procurement of aircraft from state-owned Garuda Indonesia and wheat from Indofood, the prominent instant noodle company, as part of ongoing tariff negotiations with the United States. Airlangga Hartarto, the Chief Economics Minister and Indonesia's principal negotiator, stated that the government has suggested implementing near-zero tariffs on significant American exports, particularly agricultural products, which are currently subject to tariffs ranging from 0% to 5%. Conversely, Indonesia faces a 32% tariff on its goods in US markets. The Indonesian government has previously announced plans to enter a USD 34 billion agreement with US partners in the coming week, entailing increased purchases of American goods by Indonesia and additional investments by Indonesian firms in the United States. Susiwijono Moegiarso, a senior official within Indonesia's Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs, indicated that Indonesia has sought preferential tariff treatment from the US for its key exports, including electronics, textiles, and footwear.

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In the first half of 2025, foreign direct investment (FDI) in Vietnam surged by 8.1% from the previous year, reaching USD 11.72 billion. This figure represents the highest level of realized FDI for any six-month period in the last five years. Additionally, FDI commitments, which serve as a gauge for future disbursements, rose to USD 21.52 billion, marking a significant increase of 32.6% compared to the same timeframe in the preceding year.

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In June 2025, Vietnam's trade surplus reduced to USD 2.83 billion from USD 3.2 billion in June 2024. This decline occurred as export growth trailed behind import growth, marking the third consecutive month of surplus. Exports increased by 16.3% year-on-year to USD 39.49 billion, whereas imports rose significantly by 20.2% to USD 36.66 billion. In the first half of 2025, Vietnam achieved a trade surplus of USD 7.63 billion, with exports and imports increasing by 14.4% and 17.9%, respectively. During this time, exports of processed industrial goods amounted to USD 194.28 billion, representing 88.4% of the total exports. The United States continued to be Vietnam's most significant export destination, with trade reaching USD 70.91 billion. Last year, exports to the US accounted for approximately 30% of Vietnam's GDP. A trade agreement was concluded between the US and Vietnam last Wednesday, stipulating that the US will now impose a 20% tariff on Vietnamese imports, reduced from the initially planned 46% duty.

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Vietnam’s GDP surged by 7.96% year-over-year in the second quarter of 2025, up from a 6.93% increase in the first quarter, hitting the fastest growth since the third quarter of 2022, based on preliminary estimates. This recent figure is just shy of Hanoi’s annual growth ambition, which is set at a minimum of 8%. All sectors demonstrated enhanced growth: services expanded by 8.46% compared to 7.70% in Q1, industry and construction grew by 8.97% against 7.42%, and agriculture rose by 3.89%. During the first half of 2025, Vietnam’s economy expanded by 7.52%, representing the highest first-half growth rate from 2011 to 2025.

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In June 2025, Vietnam experienced a significant uptick in international tourism, with arrivals increasing by 17.1% compared to the previous year, totaling 1.46 million visitors. This growth marks an acceleration from the 10.5% rise recorded in May. The increase was primarily driven by a 13.7% rise in visitors from Asia, featuring remarkable contributions from countries such as China (27.5%), Malaysia (17.7%), Thailand (18.6%), and Japan (10.2%). The Americas also saw an 11.9% increase in visitor numbers, largely fueled by a 13.7% increase from the United States. European tourism to Vietnam skyrocketed by 65.8%, with exceptionally high growth rates coming from Russia (266.7%), as well as notable increases from the United Kingdom (16.2%), France (11.9%), and Germany (6.0%). Visitors from Australia rose by 15.6%, whereas arrivals from Africa experienced a decline of 2.5%. Overall, during the first half of 2025, international arrivals to Vietnam surged by 20.7%, reaching 10.66 million.

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In June 2025, Vietnam experienced an 8.3% year-on-year increase in retail sales, a deceleration from the 10.2% growth observed in May, and the most modest growth since October of the previous year. This slowdown was evident across all sectors: goods saw a reduced growth of 6.7% compared to 8.0% in May; accommodation and food services grew by 14.1%, down from 19.1%; tourism increased by 23.9%, declining from 35.0%; and other services grew by 11.5%, decreasing from 14.3%. For the first half of the year, retail turnover exhibited a 9.3% rise.

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In May 2025, Vietnam experienced a notable 10.8% year-on-year increase in industrial production, up from a revised 9.6% growth in the previous month, marking the most significant surge since February. This month marks the fifth consecutive increase in industrial output, with most sectors showing acceleration. Manufacturing saw an increase of 12.1%, compared to 11.5% in May; the electricity and gas supply sector grew by 5.9%, up from 3.3%; and waste management increased to 14.3% from the prior 14.1%. Furthermore, mining activity demonstrated a recovery, increasing by 2.8% after experiencing a decline of 1.9%. On a month-to-month basis, industrial production rose by 4.1%, following a 4.3% rise in May. Over the first half of the year, industrial production expanded by 9.2%.

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Vietnam's retail sales growth has hit the brakes, slowing to 8.3% in June 2025 from a robust 10.2% in May, according to the latest economic data released on July 5, 2025. This June figure marks a year-over-year comparison with the same month last year and indicates a tempered increase in consumer spending across the nation.

The slowdown in retail sales growth suggests a recalibration in the purchasing behavior among Vietnamese consumers, potentially influenced by evolving economic conditions or consumer confidence. The decline from 10.2% in May to 8.3% reflects a significant cooling off over a one-month period, raising questions about future consumer trends and retail sector performance.

Analysts are keeping a keen eye on these developments, as continued slowdowns may impact broader economic indicators. This period of moderation will likely encourage retailers and policymakers to adapt strategically to sustain consumer engagement and maintain momentum in the Vietnamese economy. With such dynamics at play, the following months will be critical for assessing the stability and direction of Vietnam’s retail landscape.

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HANOI, July 5, 2025 – In a significant stride for Vietnam's economy, the nation's industrial production growth rate soared to 10.8% in June, compared to the same period last year. This marks a notable increase from the revised figure of 9.4% recorded in May, showcasing the country's resilient manufacturing sector.

The figures, released on July 5, 2025, reflect an accelerating momentum in Vietnam's industrial landscape, driven by various sectoral performances that continue to underpin economic activity in the region. This rise underscores Vietnam's ongoing efforts to bolster its manufacturing capabilities, attract foreign investment, and harness technological advancements.

With industries gradually recovering from global disruptions, Vietnam stands out as a beacon of industrial stability and expansion in Southeast Asia. The June data highlights a year-over-year comparison, revealing not just a monthly increment, but a steady upward trend, reinforcing Vietnam's role as a formidable manufacturing hub in the global market. The continued growth in industrial production is integral to achieving broader economic objectives and sustainable development goals in the coming years.

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HANOI, July 5, 2025 — Vietnam's economic momentum continues to surge forward as the nation's GDP accelerated to 7.96% in June, marking a significant jump from the previous quarter's 6.93%, according to the latest figures updated by the government on July 5, 2025.

The year-over-year comparison highlights the resilience and robust performance of Vietnam's economy. The previous GDP growth rate of 6.93% represented a strong start for the year during the first quarter, but June's leap to 7.96% indicates a vigorous economic landscape shaped by steady manufacturing output, burgeoning export activity, and an uptick in domestic consumption.

The government and economic experts attribute this commendable growth to strategic economic policies and Vietnam's ability to adapt and thrive amidst global market uncertainties. The sustained upward trajectory underscores optimism for Vietnam's future economic performance and reaffirms its position as a dynamic player in the global market.

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In a noteworthy development, Vietnam's Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) saw a significant increase, soaring from $8.90 billion in May 2025 to an impressive $11.72 billion by the end of June 2025. This remarkable over 30% jump was reported in the latest data update on July 5, 2025.

The rise in FDI is a reflection of growing investor confidence in Vietnam’s economic environment, likely driven by the country’s strategic positioning in Southeast Asia, favorable government policies, and a burgeoning domestic market. The increase in foreign investment is expected to further boost Vietnam's economic growth prospects, as international stakeholders continue to recognize the nation's potential for development and expanded business opportunities.

Vietnam’s government has been actively pursuing strategies to attract more FDI, focusing on streamlining investment processes and improving infrastructure. This surge sets a positive tone for the coming months and highlights Vietnam’s growing prominence as a preferred destination for global investors seeking stable and burgeoning markets. As the year progresses, all eyes will be on whether Vietnam can sustain this momentum and continue to climb the ladder of economic growth and development in the region.

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In a significant economic development, Vietnam's trade balance surged dramatically in June, reflecting a renewed vigor in the nation’s trade activities. According to the latest data released on July 5, 2025, the trade balance for June reached a substantial 2,830 million USD. This marks a notable increase from May’s figure of 560 million USD.

The sharp improvement in the trade balance indicates either an increase in exports, a decrease in imports, or a combination of both, leading to a healthier economic scenario for Vietnam. Such an uptick is promising, suggesting a rejuvenation in the country’s trading sectors and potentially buoying economic forecasts and investor confidence.

This uptick aligns with global economic trends and points towards Vietnam's strategic efforts to scale up its global economic position. Analysts will be watching closely to see if this is part of a long-term trend or a short-lived spike, with the potential to impact Vietnam’s economic policies and international trade relations positively.

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Vietnam's Consumer Price Index (CPI) has experienced a modest uptick, reaching 3.57% in June 2025, according to the latest figures updated on July 5, 2025. This represents an increase from May’s figure of 3.24%, marking a continued rise as compared to the same period last year. The year-over-year comparison denotes a steady but noticeable improvement in the nation's inflation rate recovery trajectory.

This change in CPI indicates growth pressures on consumer prices within the country, reflecting changes in demand and supply dynamics across key sectors. While the 0.33% increase may appear marginal, it provides crucial insight into underlying economic adjustments and evolving market trends that could affect Vietnam's monetary policy and economic strategy in the coming months.

The data, which compares changes for June over the same month in the previous year, suggests that the Vietnamese economy is navigating a complex landscape of inflation management, aimed at sustaining consumer purchasing power amidst global economic challenges. As Vietnam continues to adapt to these conditions, stakeholders across industries will be watching closely to assess the broader implications of this rise on the overall economic health and financial stability of the nation.

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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Vietnam witnessed a significant increase for the month of June, as reported on July 5, 2025. The CPI surged to 0.48%, marking a substantial rise from the previously modest 0.16% recorded in May 2025. This month-over-month growth signals a tangible increase in consumer prices, a development that is critical for economists and policy-makers to note.

This sharp rise in CPI may be attributed to various economic factors which are yet to be detailed in broader economic analyses. Compared to the previous month, the increase is steep, suggesting possible shifts in market supply and demand, or inflationary pressures that may have influenced pricing trends.

Such a change in the CPI could impact consumer confidence and spending patterns, influencing both short-term and long-term economic planning in the country. As stakeholders assess the implications of this data, attention is likely to turn toward potential policy adjustments to mitigate inflation and maintain economic stability in Vietnam.

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Brunei's economy contracted by 1.8% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, worsening from a 1.3% decline in the previous quarter. This represents the most significant annual decrease since the second quarter of 2023. The services sector experienced a downturn of 0.6%, a notable reversal from a 4.8% growth in the fourth quarter, thus ending a period of three consecutive quarters of expansion. This decline was primarily due to reductions in health, land, and various transport services.

Agricultural production suffered a steep decline of 11.7% after previously increasing by 3.6%, impacted by weaknesses in forestry, fisheries, and a range of crops. Although industrial output continued to decrease, it did so at a slower pace (-2.5% compared to -5.2%), largely due to reductions in other manufacturing sectors, utilities, and LNG and petroleum production.

From an expenditure perspective, fixed investment saw a significant downturn (-13.3% compared to -4.4%), alongside a marked decline in household spending (-3.0% down from 1.0%). In contrast, government spending remained steady at a growth rate of 0.8%. In terms of trade, exports dropped by 10.4%, with imports declining by 11.6%.

On a quarterly basis, GDP fell by 5.1%, overturning a 5.9% increase recorded in the fourth quarter. For the full year of 2024, the economy experienced a growth of 4.2%, a significant rise from the 1.1% expansion noted in 2023.

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The Ibovespa index managed to overturn early losses to end Friday 0.2% higher, reaching a new peak of 141,264. This rise was propelled by a decision from the Supreme Court to halt the enforcement of IOF-tax measures by both the Executive branch and Congress, thereby alleviating a substantial fiscal concern. Additionally, there was a discord between slowing economic activity and central bank forecasts. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for May fell by 1.29%, and industrial production experienced another decline, affected by the restrictive 15% Selic rate. However, market participants remained focused on the central bank's commitment to base interest rate cuts on sustained disinflation rather than temporary economic slowdowns. Leading the gains were major players Ambev, WEG, Eletrobras, and B3, each rising by more than 0.9%, while exporters remained alert to anticipated tariff announcements from Washington on July 9th. The US holiday and clearer political direction regarding the IOF contributed to lighter trading volumes, yet they were sufficient to solidify the benchmark's rise, marking a weekly gain of 3.2%.

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The S&P/TSX Composite concluded the trading session at 27,036 on Friday, maintaining its stance at an all-time high. This occurred during a notably subdued market as investors awaited the approaching tariff deadline on July 9th and absorbed recent domestic economic data. With Washington preparing to send out notifications regarding potential tariffs of up to 70% on various imports, trading activity remained low and risk-taking was minimal. This was despite slight declines in oil prices and a minor decrease in gold values. Domestically, the market reflected concerns over economic stability with the private sector experiencing its seventh month of contraction and a still substantial merchandise trade deficit, highlighting the challenges in Canada's recovery. Investors are notably cautious, seeking clearer insights on US trade policies and local economic trends before making further investments. Nevertheless, the TSX experienced a 1.3% increase over the week, reaching new record highs.

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In June 2025, Colombia experienced a slowdown in producer price inflation, reaching 2.09% compared to 3.67% in the preceding month, marking the slowest inflation rate since October of the previous year. There was a deceleration in deflation within the mining and quarrying sector, moving from -9.93% in May to -9.44%. Similarly, inflation rates eased in the sectors of agriculture, livestock, forestry, hunting, and fishing, decreasing from 7.97% to 3.73%. The industrial sector also saw a decline in inflation, with prices dropping from 5.48% to 4.35%. On a month-to-month basis, producer prices fell by 0.28%, which is a reduced decline compared to the 1.15% drop experienced in May.

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In June 2025, Brazil experienced a trade surplus of $5.89 billion, a decrease from the $7.02 billion surplus recorded in May and below the anticipated $6.45 billion by the market. Exports saw a modest year-on-year increase of 1.4%, reaching $29.14 billion. This was largely driven by a significant 10.9% rise in manufacturing exports, while sectors like agriculture and mining experienced declines of 10.0% and 6.2%, respectively. On the imports front, there was a 3.8% uptick, totaling $23.25 billion. This increase was primarily attributed to manufacturing, which rose by 5.5%, though declines were noted in agriculture (down 2.8%) and mining (down 20.9%).

Focusing on major trading partners, exports to Argentina soared by 70.8%, and imports increased by 8.9%, yet this trade resulted in a deficit of $0.52 billion. Trade with China saw exports increase by 2.5% and imports by 5.2%, culminating in a $3.69 billion deficit. Transactions with the United States revealed a 2.4% rise in exports coupled with an 18.5% surge in imports, leading to a $0.59 billion deficit. Over the first half of the year, Brazil's exports slightly declined by 0.7%, while imports grew by 8.3%, yielding a trade surplus of $30.1 billion.

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In July, the Mexican peso advanced beyond 18.65 per USD, marking its strongest point since mid-August 2024. This appreciation is attributed to bolstered external inflows, a weaker US dollar, and Mexico's continued stringent monetary policy. Externally, the unexpectedly substantial US fiscal package in June, coupled with the approaching tariff deadline under former President Trump, has pressured the dollar. Meanwhile, Mexico's trade surplus of $1.03 billion in May, along with record remittances exceeding $5.5 billion, has ensured a steady influx of foreign currency into the country. Domestically, the decision by Mexico's central bank, Banxico, on June 26th to reduce its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 8%, while also asserting that further cuts would depend on concrete disinflation, has maintained an attractive real interest rate, thus supporting the peso's yield differentials. Additionally, with unemployment at a decade-low of 2.7% and Mexico's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) at 46.3 in June outshining most of the region, the peso has found support in robust economic growth indicators.

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In a significant move for the Brazilian economy, the country's trade surplus contracted to $5.89 billion in June 2025, according to the latest figures released on July 4th. This marks a decline from the $7.24 billion recorded in May, reflecting a shift in both export and import activities within the nation's trade landscape.

The month-on-month decrease in the trade balance could be attributed to a combination of factors, including fluctuations in commodity prices, changes in global demand, and evolving trade policies. As one of the world's largest exporters of agricultural products and natural resources, Brazil's trade figures are sensitive to variances in international markets, particularly affecting sectors like mining and agriculture.

Analysts and stakeholders are now closely examining these trends to assess their long-term impact on Brazil's economic health and strategic trade positioning. This reduction in surplus could prompt policymakers to consider adjustments in trade strategies to stabilize and further enhance Brazil’s economic standing amidst ongoing global economic challenges.

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On Friday, European equities ended the trading session with notable losses, driven by ongoing trade tensions with the United States. The Eurozone's STOXX 50 index declined by 1% to settle at 5,291, while the pan-European STOXX 600 decreased by 0.5%, closing at 541. The European Commission revealed its efforts towards establishing a trade agreement framework with the US to prevent the reimplementation of severe tariffs by the looming July 9th deadline. Meanwhile, US representatives highlighted that there would be no extensions granted to this timeline, warning of possible unilateral tariffs reaching up to 70% on nations lacking a trade pact. Concurrently, officials from the European Central Bank indicated a potential miss on the 2% inflation target if the euro remains consistently strong at $1.20 over an extended timeframe. From an economic perspective, the region observed a 0.6% decrease in producer prices from April to May. Among the sectors most affected were financial institutions, technology, and industrial leaders, with significant declines from companies such as BBVA, Siemens, and ASML, all slipping approximately 2.5%. Additionally, LVMH shares dropped 1.8% in response to China's announcement of tariffs on EU brandy imports.

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Consumer prices in Ecuador experienced a 1.48% year-over-year increase in June 2025, up from 0.46% in May, representing the highest inflation rate since November 2024. The most considerable yearly rise was observed in public services, which recovered from deflationary levels, climbing to 13.54% from 3.33% in May. Additionally, there were notable increases in the food and non-alcoholic beverages sector, which rose to 0.78% from 0.39%, and in the hospitality sector, including hotels and restaurants, which increased to 1.44% from 1.26%. On a month-to-month comparison, consumer prices saw a modest rise of 0.06%, a decrease from the 1.03% growth reported the previous month.

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Colombia's exports in May 2025 experienced a 2.1% year-on-year decline, totaling USD 4.359 billion. This followed a 6.5% drop observed the previous month. The primary driver of this downturn was an 18.7% decrease in exports from the fuels and extractive industries sector, while shipments of manufactured goods saw a marginal decline of 0.1%. In contrast, agricultural exports recorded a significant increase, soaring by 26.2%. The United States continued to be the leading destination for Colombian exports, comprising 27.2% of the total, with Panama (7.0%), India (4.8%), and the Netherlands (4.7%) following suit.

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